Who here gets the virus first?

Discussion in 'The Water Cooler' started by Sota, Mar 12, 2020.

  1. wl704

    wl704 Legendary Woodsman

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  2. cls74

    cls74 Legendary Woodsman

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    I don't trust models, not saying that it cannot happen, but models are nothing but simulations based on real data put in then extrapolated out to produce a result.

    I love weather, I follow it closely especially when big winter storms or severe weather systems are forecast. They get realtime data ingested into them. Some Hi-Res models run hourly, others run every 6 hours with 2 of the 4 runs having a lot of realtime data fed in where the other two have a lot less.

    I get it that science is based on such modeling in a lot of regards, but you're taking a one off event for the most part and putting modeled outputs as the base line.

    Across the pond they are revising such number to be a lot lower than modeling had projected.

    In weather forecasting they would call that a "bust", and they happen quite frequently even though the models are constantly updated and ran so frequently with real time data. Prrtty much at initialization you can tell how it is handling the current situation, and the worse it handles from the start the worse it is at the result.

    Like I have said before, I am doing my part so not discounting it at all, but some of these numbers being thrown out are not going to happen.
     
  3. Sota

    Sota Legendary Woodsman

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    Anybody else think China is still lying? Total BS no model produced shows no later slight blip, yet China reports zero new illnesses?
     
  4. MnHunterr

    MnHunterr Legendary Woodsman

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  5. cls74

    cls74 Legendary Woodsman

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    I trust China as much as I trust North Korea with no cases.

    I trust the origination of this pandemic as much as I trust people who trust China.

    In short, I would not be disappointed with the sinking of some man made islands made by chinese military in punishment for this and their handling of it from the get go.

    But that's just me and my opinion.....
     
  6. virginiashadow

    virginiashadow Legendary Woodsman

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    China probably had 300k people die already. Burned the bodies in deep mass graves.
     
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  7. cls74

    cls74 Legendary Woodsman

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    17 days I'm naming the first Tom I see CV19 and shooting the MF'er.

    Pretty sure morels will be up by then and maybe some sheds still laying around.

    I want normalcy back in my life, even though I have never hunted spring turkey :lol:
     
  8. Sota

    Sota Legendary Woodsman

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    I used to watch Kenneth Copeland on Sunday morning he is a pretty dang good speaker, I was not hearing the message just watching the technique. He is nuts in that clip.
     
  9. wl704

    wl704 Legendary Woodsman

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    Of course China isn't being wholly truthful. They are still reporting new illnesses and deaths, just substantially less.

    2 reports I recall that give credence to this: analysis of crematory urn deliveries and cancelled cell phone service volume.

    There is at least one zero missing from your number Brett.
     
  10. Germ

    Germ Legendary Woodsman

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    upload_2020-4-1_8-11-59.png

    Italy is turning the corner finally, I am more worried about the below still happening. We still are not testing enough, if we don't what is happening in New York, Detroit and Chicago will happen everywhere. FYI that was yesterday

     
    Last edited: Apr 1, 2020
  11. GregH

    GregH Legendary Woodsman

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    juZfrFh.png
     
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  12. oldnotdead

    oldnotdead Legendary Woodsman

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    The story ended up on Hannity...and I see Tucker
     
  13. oldnotdead

    oldnotdead Legendary Woodsman

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    We have got to get rid of these Democrats in Nov....period!
     
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  14. Germ

    Germ Legendary Woodsman

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    Yes because the Republicans are doing such a great job, lmao

    Dewine is the only person I would vote for so far, in fact, I wish he would run for President.
     
  15. oldnotdead

    oldnotdead Legendary Woodsman

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    We can go there Germ and do a USA city comparison Republican ran vs Democratic to answer that. We can do this with crime and judicial policies as well. Sanctuary cities lots of comparitable data out there.
     
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  16. dnoodles

    dnoodles Legendary Woodsman

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    hold your anti-Republican reflux for a second- she is specifically referring to Dem governors releasing prisoners by the thousands. Many of them violent repeat offenders.

    Not a single R governor doing that to the best of my knowledge.
     
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  17. oldnotdead

    oldnotdead Legendary Woodsman

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    dnoodles,
    Now don't press him too hard with facts. He's too busy chasing his own A, due to apparently laughing it off.
     
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  18. Westfinger

    Westfinger Grizzled Veteran

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    I think the perceived inadequacies in testing is the least of our worries. I would trade all the test kits for an ample supply of PPE.
     
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  19. MnHunterr

    MnHunterr Legendary Woodsman

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    It really is fascinating reading through this thread on a daily basis and seeing everyone "take sides" of their own political party. There is absolutely 0 leeway or attempt to understand both sides. None.
     
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  20. Okiebob

    Okiebob Grizzled Veteran

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    Y'all can sit here all day and try to blame one or another as far as Democrats and Republicans and at the end of the day you'll have accomplished absolutely **** all nothing and not changed a thing, maybe you can win some internet points.

    As far as releasing prisoners, my Republican governor and Republican mayor are talking about that very thing today, releasing certain prisoners. Do I agree with it, who knows. Do I think sex offenders should be released, no. Then again if they turn up dead bc the media let it be known what hotel they DOC put them up in, so be it.
     
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